Dream Finders Homes Stock Performance

DFH Stock  USD 18.61  0.18  0.98%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.16, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Dream Finders will likely underperform. At this point, Dream Finders Homes has a negative expected return of -0.0069%. Please make sure to confirm Dream Finders' potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Dream Finders Homes performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Dream Finders Homes has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Dream Finders is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.98
Five Day Return
(3.92)
Year To Date Return
8.58
Ten Year Return
(11.17)
All Time Return
(11.17)
1
Can Dream Finders Homes Inc. stock double in next 5 years - 2025 Short Interest Weekly Top Stock Performers List - fcp.pa.gov.br
11/03/2025
2
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. DFH Shares Purchased by Geode Capital Management LLC - MarketBeat
12/01/2025
3
Rays owner Zalupski tells Dream Finders Homes shareholders he remains focused on the company - Jacksonville Daily Record
12/29/2025
4
Dream Finders Homes Inc. Dips More Than Broader Market What You Should Know
12/31/2025
5
Boasting A 19 percent Return On Equity, Is Dream Finders Homes, Inc. A Top Quality Stock
01/05/2026
6
Dream Finders Homes Inc. Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market What Investors Need to Know
01/07/2026
7
DFH Stock Sector-Wide Housing Catalyst Ignites Squeeze - Trefis
01/09/2026
8
Dream Finders Homes Inc. Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market Important Facts to Note
01/14/2026
9
A Look At Dream Finders Homes Valuation Following Recent Share Price Strength
01/15/2026
10
Disposition of 41525 shares by Lovett William Radford Ii of Dream Finders at 19.44 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2026
11
Disposition of 30217 shares by Lovett William Radford Ii of Dream Finders at 19.6 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
12
Dream Finders Homes Inc. Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick What Investors Need to Know
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow548.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-221.7 M

Dream Finders Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,918  in Dream Finders Homes on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (57.00) from holding Dream Finders Homes or give up 2.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. Dream Finders Homes is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.0164% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Dream, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dream Finders is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.01 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Dream Finders Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Dream Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.61 90 days 18.61 
about 62.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dream Finders to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.66 (This Dream Finders Homes probability density function shows the probability of Dream Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.16 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dream Finders will likely underperform. Additionally Dream Finders Homes has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dream Finders Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dream Finders

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dream Finders Homes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.5918.6121.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.6118.6221.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2817.3020.32
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.0222.0024.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dream Finders. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dream Finders' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dream Finders' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dream Finders Homes.

Dream Finders Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dream Finders is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dream Finders' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dream Finders Homes, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dream Finders within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Dream Finders Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dream Finders for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dream Finders Homes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dream Finders Homes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dream Finders Homes has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Dream Finders Homes has about 274.38 M in cash with (256.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.91.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Dream Finders Homes Inc. Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick What Investors Need to Know

Dream Finders Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dream Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dream Finders' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dream Finders' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments274.4 M

Dream Finders Fundamentals Growth

Dream Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dream Finders, and Dream Finders fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dream Stock performance.

About Dream Finders Performance

By evaluating Dream Finders' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Dream Finders' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Dream Finders has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Dream Finders has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 198.73  212.28 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.24  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.28  0.41 

Things to note about Dream Finders Homes performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dream Finders for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Dream Finders Homes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dream Finders Homes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dream Finders Homes has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Dream Finders Homes has about 274.38 M in cash with (256.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.91.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Dream Finders Homes Inc. Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick What Investors Need to Know
Evaluating Dream Finders' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dream Finders' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Dream Finders' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dream Finders' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dream Finders' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dream Finders' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dream Finders' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dream Finders' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Dream Finders' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dream Finders' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dream Finders' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Dream Stock analysis

When running Dream Finders' price analysis, check to measure Dream Finders' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dream Finders is operating at the current time. Most of Dream Finders' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dream Finders' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dream Finders' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dream Finders to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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